Model & Sistem

Status Model

Production: S3 LGB Monthly (single model) + D2 Quantile (visualization-only)

Status
Ready
Last Trained
2026-06-05T09:02:53
Data Terakhir di Model
2026-06-03
Training rows: 679,028
Data Terakhir Diupload
2026-06-03
Sinkron dengan model

Akurasi Model Saat Ini (Production)

Hasil hold-out backtest pada retrain terakhir.

Test Month
May 2026
9626 TID dievaluasi
Monthly WAPE
20.7%
baik
Macro F1
0.605
At Risk F1
0.042
(kelas tersulit)

Per-Class Metrics

StatusPrecisionRecallF1
On Track 0.965 0.815 0.884
At Risk 0.028 0.086 0.042
Off Track 0.827 0.959 0.888

Confusion Matrix (3×3)

Pred OTPred ARPred OFT
Act OT 4249 161 803
Act AR 32 6 32
Act OFT 123 47 3984

Diagonal hijau = klasifikasi benar.

Threshold Status

Atur batas klasifikasi status. Perubahan langsung di-apply tanpa retrain.

Rupiah. Default: 15.000.000
Rupiah. Default: 10.500.000. Off Track = di bawah ini.

Riwayat Akurasi (10 Terakhir)

Track perubahan akurasi seiring retraining.

Trained AtTest Month N TIDs WAPE Macro F1 OT F1 AR F1 OFT F1
2026-06-05T09:06:22 May 2026 9626 20.7% 0.605 0.884 0.042 0.888
2026-06-05T07:59:35 May 2026 9626 20.8% 0.608 0.884 0.051 0.888
2026-06-05T06:19:25 May 2026 9626 23.0% 0.594 0.884 0.032 0.866
2026-06-05T01:15:01 May 2026 9626 22.4% 0.598 0.888 0.037 0.868
2026-06-04T14:42:00 Apr 2026 9551 23.2% 0.603 0.886 0.043 0.881
2026-05-25T14:56:52 Apr 2026 9551 23.2% 0.603 0.886 0.043 0.881
2026-05-15T14:56:44 Apr 2026 9551 38.3% 0.586 0.863 0.054 0.840
2026-05-15T14:43:26 Apr 2026 9551 38.3% 0.636 0.863 0.223 0.823
2026-05-15T14:41:12 Apr 2026 9551 72.0% 0.571 0.820 0.153 0.741

Inference Cache

Pre-computed dashboard payload — dipakai /dashboard & /bulan-depan untuk instant load.

⚠ Cache pakai data s.d. 2026-05-24 tapi data terakhir terupload 2026-06-03. Klik Retrain untuk refresh.
BulanData TerakhirComputed AtRecords
Mei 2026 2026-05-24 2026-06-04T14:42:16 10235
Juni 2026 2026-06-03 2026-06-05T09:07:23 10235
Juli 2026 2026-06-03 2026-06-05T09:08:35 10235